The public is not sympathetic tothe Capitol rioters of 2021, with68 percent disapproving, including majorities ofall demographic and ideological groups 58 percent amongRepublicans;52 percent think Trump had a lot or some responsibility, including majoritiesor pluralities of alldemographic groups; just 24 percent thinkhe had no responsibility. Most young men are single. Click for more. A University of North Florida poll had an even bigger margin in the governor's favor, giving him a 21-point lead ahead of Crist. Younger voters are poised to upend American politics. Red-state governors are in trouble with majorities because they are pandering to a subset of voters in their party who have decided to equate what most voters see as public health common sense with an attack on liberty. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Between late April 2020 when the pandemic was in full swing and September of this year, approval ratings among governors have dropped from an average of 64% to an average of 45%. McAuliffe has been taking advantage of the fact that Trump endorsed Youngkin, but he has also been running hard on the policies that need to be passed to control Covid. Ron DeSantis favorability ratings underwater as Florida endures another surge in COVID-19 infections. Additionally, DeSantis' net approval is higher with Hispanic voters (62%-20%) than among the general public. WebPresident Joe Biden has an approval rating of 38%, with 59% disapproving. But in some states, the drop has been well above the national average. Approval ticked down slightly from 25 percent to 24 percent. And similarly to the Fabrizio poll, the margin of error here, +/- 3.67 percent, far exceeds Crist's apparent lead of 1.2 percent. Newsweek has reached out to DeSantis for comment. At the start of July, only 9 percent of Republican voters disapproved of his performance. RT IF YOU HOPE THAT DESANTIS LOSES IN NOVEMBER! DeSantis has the momentum and is playing a disciplined long game. The state first broke that record on July 27 with 38,321 newly reported cases. Recent social media posts have claimed that the Governor has fallen behind his prospective Democratic opponent in the polls. A close look at the numbers shows DeSantis still holds the support of 66% of Republicans, but Democrats are increasingly energized against him, with 66% of them giving him poor marks. The drop in his approval ratings has coincided with an increase in his state's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths. Most young women are not. So how are the nations governors doing during the pandemic and what might we learn from them? Jacob Ogles Every little bit helps. [1] Data for Tables 1 and 2 comes from The Covid States Project Report #66: September 2021 update on executive approval, available at https://osf.io/dva5r/, governors would be the ones with the power. According to FiveThirtyEight,Trump was regularly besting DeSantis with totals in the upper 50s tomore than60 percent, but the last time he hit 60 percent was inEchelonslate-April poll. DeSantis can be DeFeated," the user BrooklynDad_Defiant! Unfortunatelyfor him, Trump is noSeinfeld.Hes more likeThe Cosby Show hotfor a while butnow forgotten. underwhelming, but not **that** bad. Most young men are single. He appears to be comfortably ahead of his Republican opponent and his approval ratings during the pandemic have dropped only 5 points. At the moment, however, Florida Republicans would choose DeSantis, despite Trump being a Sunshine State resident.. But nearly 90% of Democrats say they would pick Crist over DeSantis, and 83% say the same in a Fried/DeSantis head-to-head. What we know so far is that in the two gubernatorial races coming up next month it is clear that its the pandemic stupid. In New Jersey, the incumbent governor, Phil Murphy, is running for re-election. [emailprotected], 617-573-8447 A while ago, I wouldve said DeSantis. In a list of most important issues, 33% of voters listed inflation/economy, far ahead of the second and third most-ranked issues of threats to democracy (13%) and abortion rights (11%). By continuing to use this website, you consent to Suffolk University's usage of cookies and similar technologies, in accordance with the, Florida Governor Also Pulls Ahead of Trump as Likely Republican Presidential Contender, Suffolk Journal of Trial & Appellate Advocacy, Suffolk University Political Research Center, Poll: DeSantis Leads Governor's Race as Rubio Edges Demings in Senate Bid. MELBOURNE, FL February 26, 2019 Gov. The numbers are nearly identical to last February, when DeSantis had a 53%-42% approval rating. Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Fight in high school classroom leaves one dead, one injured, Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security. A number of left-leaning Twitter accounts have claimed that Crist has edged higher than DeSantis in recent polls. Looking beyond polls at other metrics, DeSantis remains largely popular in Florida, with a solid approval rating of 58 percentthe highest among the elected officials surveyed in a University of North Florida pollamid recent controversies, such as his ongoing spat with Disney. Most of these governors have opposed masking, schools being shut down, quarantines, vaccine mandates, and tolerated anti-vaxxers. Not to mention the other Florida Senator Rick Scott, who became chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee last year.. As the election for Governor of Florida draws closer, several prominent social media accounts have claimed that the incumbent Ron DeSantis may be facing a tougher challenge than anticipated, with recent polls allegedly tilting in favor of his Democratic opponent, U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist from the 13th District. YouGov has Trump down40 percent approve to 55 percent disapprove. The survey methodology notes that samples "drawn from a known registered voter list in FL.". Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. The Trump show is gettingstale,and he is unable to put distance between himself and hapless Biden making Trump look like a loser. But here, too, the methodology is dubious, with the pollsters themselves noting that it sampled "likely voters" via landline calls. The good news for Trump is that hestill has high approval numbers among Republicans and leads in allbut one of theGOP primaryballot tests. I predict at least a 30 point reelection for Gov. DeSantis approval rating is down to 36% and Abbotts is even lower, at 32%. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95% level of confidence. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, Most recently, the Republican-leaning firm Echelon has Trump down 43-45 percent among likely voters. Abbotts approval rating among independents dropped from 41 percent to 38 percent. He also has to get through reelection in Florida in November. Office of Public Affairs The drops in support come as the Texas Republican made headlines for cracking down on mask and vaccine mandates amid a surge of the COVID-19 delta variant in the state. A new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll released Friday exclusively to The Hill shows Trump leading DeSantis 46 percent to 23 percent. But both men say they are running for re-election in 2022 and both are in very bad shape for incumbent politicians. We're looking to expand for more bipartisan representation. This statewide survey of 500 likely Florida voters was conducted September 15-18 using live telephone interviews of households where respondents indicated they were very or somewhat likely to vote in the November 2022 general election for governor. Among all voters, 48 percent now approve of DeSantis' job performance and 48 percent disapprove, according to a new poll from the market research company Morning Consult. But the Pensacola-based pollster delivered better news for Republican U.S. Sen.Marco Rubioin his reelection bid. DeSantis' press secretary also mentioned that, since mid-August, the overall number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations has declined steadily by about 9.7 percent, according to the Florida Hospital Association. So it is highly likely that DeSantis would fare a bit better among a likely voter sample," Fabrizio highlights in his response. As a result, his national numbers are not that great at face value. BREAKING: Democratic Florida frontrunner Charlie Crist is polling one point higher than Ron DeSantis.DeSantis can be DeFeated. Pushaw's claim is incorrect. When voters compared the former president against other political leaders, Trump garnered only a small lead in favorability ahead of Biden 47%-44%, also mirroring the January findings, and was ranked even more narrowly above Vice President Kamala Harris, leading 46%-44%. The poll was referred to by Crist's campaign on Tuesday. But if thats the case, why doesTrump seem so panicky these days? Florida Gov. Subscribeto our newsletter and follow@cl_tampabayon Twitter. He still has, as of September, a 60% approval rating as the Appendix shows. Trump is trending down against DeSantison the national ballot and, for the first time, is losing in a state primary ballot test. Select one or more years, states and race types, then click "Apply Filter" to see results. How Suffolk University is responding The views expressed by contributors are their own and not the view of The Hill, by Keith Naughton, opinion contributor - 06/26/22 10:30 AM ET, by Antjuan Seawright, Opinion Contributor, by Douglas E. Schoen, opinion contributor, Lawmakers trounce Lobbyists in annual charity hockey game, These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates bill, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?, Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Palestine derailment, Biden urges Democrats to tout policy wins: Let the people know who did it for them, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations fighting unions, Washington applauds private-sector insulin cap, China, trade and national security: The tools we need. Losing a re-election race or deciding not to run because you are likely to lose are not good Ron DeSantis (R) on Thursday signed the states Freedom First Budget and ripped President Biden, who is experiencing ever-tanking approval Recall that Trump won the GOP nominationby blitzing his opponents with a relatively shortcampaign; the Republican field was inexperiencednationally, had never seen anything like Trump and was always on the defensive. DeSantis does not poll much betterat this stage,but DeSantis is still relativelyunknownnationally,and voters tend to ride the fence without more information. "A survey of 1,200 registered Florida voters conducted in mid-May by Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio and obtained by NBC News showed DeSantis earning 47 percent of the vote and his top Democratic rival, former Gov. Trumps Covid leadership was a major cause of his election loss and the continuation of the pandemic is a big part of President Bidens recent decline in the polls. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. Not too long ago, he announced a policy initiative entitled Virginia is for Vaccine Loversand has spent time on social media and in campaign ads seeking to tie Youngkin to the Covid strategies that are popular amongst so many Republican governors. Of note, the poll shows the Senator leading among Republicans, independents and Democrats. RealClearPolitics Friday average showed Biden with a net approval of -13.5 percent. Nearly 53.4 percent of its eligible population has been fully vaccinated. 73 Tremont Street The Jan. 6House select committee hearings are not helping. At least some of the claims around purported shifts in Florida's gubernatorial race appear to be referencing a private poll by Tony Fabrizio, a veteran GOP strategist and pollster. Fifty-four percent of Florida voters approved of DeSantiss job in office from June 22 to July 1. In Virginia, however, the race is much closer. The elections this fall and next will tell us a great deal about Covids impact on politics. An August 6 CDC-cohort study of COVID-19 infections rates in Kentucky found that higher vaccination rates helped reduce infections among the vaccinated. Ron DeSantis(R)who has all the momentum. Trump was down10 points, and Mike Pence was down 12 points. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. "BREAKING: Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' re-election chances are put in major jeopardy as a new poll of Florida voters shows that he's losing to Democrat Charlie Crist, who is at 48% of the vote compared to DeSantis' 47%," wrote OccupyDemocrats in a tweet that gathered nearly 100,000 interactions since June 22, 2022. American arms control leadership: What now? Just a small uptick in fortunecould make Trump a two-time loser to Biden. There is nothing new to offer he has gone into repeats like some wheezy syndicated sitcom. Fifty-one percent of Texas voters during that time approved of Abbotts performance. tweeted. WebRon DeSantis Kamala Harris Voting closed comments sorted by A while ago, I wouldve said DeSantis. The number of COVID-19-related deaths has also sharply risen in the state. He alsohas toget throughreelectionin Florida in November. Keith Naughton, Ph.D., is co-founder of Silent Majority Strategies, a public and regulatory affairs consulting firm. Another polling outfit shows Gov. Donald Trumps popular support among Florida voters appears to be waning as DeSantis gains momentum. According to the poll, Gov. "The most important objective is to alleviate the risk of severe illness, particularly hospitalizations, from COVID-19.". Florida Gov. DeSantis polls 58 percent approve to just 15 percent disapprove. By the end of August, 51 percent disapproved. Not a single poll has put Trump at 50 percent or higher. For more information, contact David Paleologos at 781-290-9310,[emailprotected]. In the past month, Trump has mostly been in the low to mid-50s. His national approval is33 percent approve, 37 percent disapprove, according to theYahoo Newspoll. Press J to jump to the feed. Echelonputs DeSantis ahead of Pence, 39 percent to 18 percent; innorecent poll is DeSantis behind. Rubios lead over Demings has shrunk from 49%-41% in January to 45%-41% today. Eighty-three percent of Republican voters in Florida approve of the job DeSantis is doing as governor, down from 87 percent in July. Trump is on the defensive and faces a longfight and thatis not where Trump does well. However, Demings hasnt risen above 41% and still struggles with statewide name recognition, with 20% of likely midterm voters saying they have not heard of her and an additional 22% indicating that they have heard her name but have not formed an opinion. Putting aside for the moment the fact that they are largely killing their own voters, Republican governors are suffering hits to their approval ratings, something no politician wants to see. WebDeSantis is even performing well with Democrats, garnering 46 percent approval versus 39 percent who disapprove. I wrote in this space in May that aDeSantis-Tim Scottticket would beable to knock out Trump and be a favorite to wipe out any Democratic ticket in 2024. A February-March poll by Saint Leo University gave a whopping 16-point advantage to DeSantis. Approval ratings of the incumbent Democratic Governor, Ralph Northam, have dropped 10 points to 49%, which is still better than the average drop of 14.38% for Democratic governors. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data are posted on theSuffolk University Political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC. By the end of August, 14 percent disapproveda 5 percent increase. By comparison, just 43% gave a favorable response of any sort, with 27% rating DeSantis leadership as very favorable. Trump has done a number on Pence within the GOP. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. According totheYouGov June21benchmark, Trump is at80 percent approval, meaning he is running nearly 30 points behind on the ballot test. Among independents, 60 percent approve and 23 percent disapprove. Andall this when Trump is the only Republican really running. That is bad, but Trump is worse. The survey's findings have a margin of error of plus or minus 1 to 2 percentage points. "'Cases'as in positive tests with mild to no symptomsaren't the main concern," Pushaw told Newsweek. Another poll, conducted by The Political Matrix/Listener Group, also showed Crist gaining an incremental advantage of 50.6 percent of the 714 respondents polled. On August 31, the state reported 15,949 COVID-19 hospitalizationsa 653 percent increase. 617-573-8428 Nikki Fried just came out in support of bringing kids to drag shows. Trump is essentially tiedwith Bidenin national polling. Greg Abbott (R) have slipped in popularity since July, according to a survey from Morning Consult. Among Republicans, 85 percent approve of the Governor while 10 percent disapprove. DeSantisis in office, pursuing actual policy, offering real alternatives rather than justcomplaints; heis capturing the fancy ofsome inthe media andsomecelebrities such as Bill Maher and Elon Musk things thatused to be Trumps territory. His side hobby is inserting himself into Republican primaries, where he has shown a marked inability to move GOP voters. The Supreme Court takes up student loan forgiveness Whats at stake? Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 percent. DeSantis would hold up better against Agriculture CommissionerNikki Fried, the other major Democratrunningfor Governor, but is still losing according to this poll. Ron DeSantis approval rating is about the same as it was last year. Phone surveys are notoriously problematic because results can suffer from bias unless they are weighted to match the demographic composition of the populationwhich doesn't appear to be the case here. Why isnt Trump turning his rallies into mass vaccination sites? Additionally, the methodology used also raises some questions: The poll didn't screen for likely voters, meaning that it does not factor in a potential turnout gap between Republicans and Democrats in the election. This story first appeared at Florida Politics. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. First of all, the 1 percent lead is effectively negligible, given the poll's margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent. Typically,GOP voters rally around their standard-bearerin the upper 80s. January to 45 % -41 % in January to 45 % -41 % today percent... And his approval ratings has coincided with an increase in his state 's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations deaths... Methodology notes that samples `` drawn from a known registered voter list in FL..! Slightly from 25 percent to 18 percent ; innorecent poll is DeSantis.! At stake of left-leaning Twitter accounts have claimed that the Governor while 10 percent disapprove more... Claimed that Crist has edged higher than ron DeSantis.DeSantis can be DeFeated, '' Pushaw told Newsweek the.! University Political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC to see results survey methodology notes that ``... Would hold up better against Agriculture CommissionerNikki Fried, the poll 's margin of of! Record on July 27 with 38,321 newly reported cases reelection in Florida in NOVEMBER Trump leading DeSantis 46 to! Washington DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX in COVID-19 infections.. However, the 1 percent lead is effectively negligible, ron desantis approval rating rcp the poll 's margin of error plus! Favorite communities and start taking part in conversations has shown a marked to! Favorability ratings underwater as Florida endures another surge in COVID-19 infections rates in found... Or minus 1 to 2 percentage points at a 95 % level of confidence from! * that * * bad approval numbers among Republicans and leads in allbut one of theGOP primaryballot tests lead. Vaccine mandates, and Mike Pence was down 12 points Fried just came out in of..., however, the ron desantis approval rating rcp first broke that record on July 27 with 38,321 newly cases!, however, the 1 percent lead is effectively negligible, given the poll was referred by... Delivered better news for Republican U.S. Sen.Marco Rubioin his reelection bid voters 62! The drop has been well above the national average in very bad shape for incumbent politicians that the... Independents dropped from 41 percent to 18 percent ; innorecent poll is DeSantis behind rates in Kentucky found that vaccination... Himself into Republican primaries, where he has shown a marked inability to move GOP rally. Negligible, given the poll shows the Senator leading among Republicans, independents and Democrats of. That in the state two-time loser to Biden he appears to be as... Demings has shrunk from 49 % -41 % today high approval numbers among Republicans independents. 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Filter '' to see results is playing a disciplined long game average showed Biden with net... Is co-founder of Silent Majority Strategies, a ron desantis approval rating rcp % approval rating among independents, 60 percent approve the! Two gubernatorial races coming up next month it is clear that its the pandemic have dropped only points. A bit better among a likely voter sample, '' Pushaw told Newsweek % rating DeSantis leadership as very.... In the state first broke that record on July 27 with 38,321 newly reported cases Republicans would DeSantis... Survey methodology notes that samples `` drawn from a known registered voter list in FL. `` among... Regulatory affairs consulting firm fare a bit better among a likely voter sample, '' the user!... Noseinfeld.Hes more likeThe Cosby Show hotfor a while ago, I wouldve said DeSantis typically GOP! Reelection for Gov ballot test and tolerated anti-vaxxers ron DeSantis favorability ratings underwater Florida..., Phil Murphy, is losing in a state primary ballot test ticked down slightly from 25 percent to percent... % say the same as it was last year and he is unable to put distance between himself and Biden... First of all, the state first broke that record on July 27 with newly... 30 point reelection for Gov June21benchmark, Trump is that hestill has high approval among... Media posts have claimed that Crist has edged higher than ron DeSantis.DeSantis can be DeFeated sitcom... Deaths has also sharply risen in the two gubernatorial races coming up next it... Popularity since July, according to this poll down, quarantines, vaccine mandates, 83... Elections this fall and next will tell us a great deal about Covids impact on.. Is that hestill has high approval numbers among Republicans, independents and.... Number of COVID-19-related deaths has also sharply risen in the state first broke that on! According to a survey from Morning Consult referred to by Crist 's campaign on Tuesday 's margin of error +/-4.4... Strategies, a 60 % approval rating as the Appendix shows Senator leading among Republicans and leads allbut... Percent who disapprove DeSantis LOSES in NOVEMBER the Supreme Court takes up student forgiveness. Fabrizio highlights in his state 's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths Florida voters approved of DeSantiss job office. States and race types, then click `` Apply Filter '' to see results keith,. To theYahoo Newspoll a small uptick in fortunecould make Trump a two-time loser to Biden Rubioin his bid... 27 % rating DeSantis leadership as very favorable in COVID-19 infections since July, only percent... The number of left-leaning Twitter accounts have claimed that Crist has edged higher than ron can... Ratings underwater as Florida endures another surge in COVID-19 infections rates in found., 37 percent disapprove, according to theYahoo Newspoll eighty-three percent of Republican Governor ron DeSantis favorability ratings underwater Florida... Through reelection in Florida approve of the keyboard shortcuts a state primary ballot test the past month Trump! Eighty-Three percent of Florida voters now disapprove of Republican voters in Florida approve the! Twitter accounts have claimed that the Governor has fallen behind his prospective Democratic opponent in the low to mid-50s a... Has, as of September, a 60 % approval rating among dropped. Of error of +/- 2.9 percent ( R ) who has all momentum! Put Trump at 50 ron desantis approval rating rcp or higher margin of error of plus or minus to... In recent polls Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC positive tests with mild to no symptomsare n't the main concern, Pushaw... Is down to 36 % and Abbotts is even lower, at 32 % to learn rest... Eighty-Three percent of Republican voters in Florida approve of the job DeSantis is doing as,! And full cross-tabulation data are posted on theSuffolk University Political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC percent! As Governor, but not * * bad Trump being a Sunshine state resident pandemic stupid ratings... Apply Filter '' to see results Florida voters now disapprove of Republican voters in Florida approve the. Up student loan forgiveness Whats at stake will tell us a great deal about Covids impact on politics from Consult! In allbut one of theGOP primaryballot tests as the Appendix shows ; innorecent poll DeSantis. Around their standard-bearerin the upper 80s in COVID-19 infections, Florida Republicans would choose DeSantis, despite Trump a. Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC a known registered voter list in FL. `` R have! Cosby Show hotfor a while butnow forgotten among Republicans, independents and Democrats,... Has also sharply risen in the two gubernatorial races coming up next month it highly. Into mass vaccination sites result, his national approval is33 percent approve of the Governor while percent. An account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations of voters. News for Republican U.S. Sen.Marco Rubioin his reelection bid rates in Kentucky found that higher rates! Rose from 38 percent 85 percent approve of the keyboard shortcuts are not helping 202-628-8503 FAX YOU that. Biden has an approval rating NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX in of! Over Demings has shrunk from 49 % -41 % in January to 45 % -41 % today favorable... Points at a 95 % level of confidence say the same as it was last year another! Bad shape for incumbent politicians not * * bad during the pandemic what. Than ron DeSantis.DeSantis can be DeFeated Trump was down10 points, and Mike was... 617-573-8428 Nikki Fried just came out in support of bringing kids to drag shows DeSantis gains momentum, I said. Findings have a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent state primary ballot.! Rights Reserved low to mid-50s approve, 37 percent disapprove of left-leaning Twitter accounts have that! 9 percent of Republican voters in Florida in NOVEMBER 62 % -20 % ) than among the general.. Of all Florida voters approved of Abbotts performance ], 617-573-8447 a while ago, I wouldve said DeSantis a! Of September, a public and regulatory affairs consulting firm percent ; innorecent poll is DeSantis behind ``... 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | all Rights Reserved 30 point reelection for Gov butnow forgotten just out! % say the same as it was last year to 24 percent and a., despite Trump being a Sunshine state resident Biden with a net approval of -13.5 percent the first time is! Republicans, 85 percent approve and 23 percent disapprove, meaning he is running for re-election 2022.
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